Because the numbers we are seeing right now are county wide and our counties in Arizona are so frickin’ big, it’s hard to really parse things to see where Jesse Kelly’s outstanding votes may be versus Gabrielle Giffords’s outstanding votes.
But one thing that’s interesting is looking at the numbers from Cochise County. Giffords’s overall lead is growing, which is understandable given the number of ballots outstanding in Pima County. But, she, much to the surprise of observers I talked to, even cut into Kelly’s lead in Cochise County. Okay, she cut into it by a grand total of seven votes. However, any scenario that would have Kelly pulling this out would involve him expanding his lead in Cochise County significantly.
I talked to a couple people in the local press yesterday who are not willing to call this thing yet, understandable really. But it is getting increasingly difficult to imagine where Kelly makes up the difference.