Friday, January 4th, 2008...6:58 pm
Messy Algebra
Something that has been travelling the series of tubes here in Blogistan today is the question of where the candidates would have placed had the Iowa caucasians met in one huge, supermegarepublicrat caucus. It would have looked something like this:
- Sen. Barack Obama (D - Illinois) - 89,404
- Sen. John Edwards (D - North Carolina) - 70,805
- Sen. Hillary Clinton (D - New York) - 70,138
- Gov. Mike Huckabee (R - Arkansas) - 39,814
- Gov. Willard Romney (R - Massachusetts) - 29,405
- Sen. Arthur Branch Thompson (R - Tennessee) - 15,521
- Sen. John Sidney McCain III (R - God’s Country) - 15,248
- Rep. Ron Paul (R - Whackjob) - 11,598
- Gov. Bill Richardson (D - Nuevo Mexico) - 5,021
- Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R - 9-11) - 4,013
- Sen. Joe Biden (D - Delaware) - 2,213
- Rep. Duncan Hunter (R - Not a Chance) - 515
- Uncommitted Democrat (D - Somewhere) - 333
- Sen. Christopher Dodd (D - Connecticut) - 47
Okay, the Democratic numbers are estimates based on totals after dispersals, but still.
Since turnout was so much better in the Democratic caucuses, Huckabee’s numbers look poor compared to the leading Democrats. This is being talked about as evidence that there is more excitement for the Democratic candidates than the Republican ones.
Could be…but here is what I see…
There were so few people that participated on both sides (remember that this small group of voters is determining who gets nominated for President of a nation of three hundred million people) that had Bob Walkup packed up all of his voters in this last election and had them caucus, he would have been the winner of the Republican Caucus and come in fourth in this hypothetical combined caucus.
(Hey, could happen, Walkup is from Ames after all.)
Heck, Regina Romero, Rodney Glassman and Shirley Scott would have been in fourth too. Even Dave Croteau would have outpolled McCain and Thompson.
But, it’s tradition. -sigh-
4 Comments
January 4th, 2008 at 7:46 pm
HURRY!!!!!! THERE IS STILL TIME TO CHANGE YOUR REGISTRATION TO REPUBLICAN AND VOTE FOR RON PAUL ON FEBUARY 4!!!!!!! HE CAN STILL TAKE IT ALL!!!!!!
www.ronpaul.com
January 5th, 2008 at 10:49 am
Ru Paul is running for President???? He will sure take the cross dresser vote away from Julie Annie.
January 5th, 2008 at 1:41 pm
15. Sen. Mike Gravel (D - North Country) - 1
That’s my favorite line from Tony Cani’s live blog from the caucuses:
“7:13pm: There is one Gravel supporter.”
http://www.yda.org/blog/252/live-blogging-for-real-from-the-iowa-caucuses
January 5th, 2008 at 2:50 pm
Keep in mind that in the Democratic caucuses, the non-viable candidates’ supporters then were allowed to shift, and what you see is the second vote. In the GOP caucus, only one vote was taken. This means that from what I read that Richardson had originally had 7% but was not viable, he’d have gotten about 17,000 votes– which would have been good enough to finish third in the Republican primary.
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