Monday, October 23rd, 2006...8:56 pm
I Think It Is Called Truthiness
So, I’m trying to decide that line between “spin” and, uh, totally made up BS.
Take Katherine Harris, for example. So far, her campaign has made Stuart Starky’s odd suicide mission against John McCain look like it was put together by Mark Hanna. Her people have been spinning tales of sure victory, however. Her campaign released the results of a straw poll that anybody, regardless of age, could vote in as a “poll” showing her ahead of prohibitive favorite Bill Nelson.
Of course, given the way that Harris has been behaving, that may not be spin, but delusion.
Crossing that line from spin to something a bit less pleasant to step in is Randy Graf’s latest newsletter, which states:
In fact, our staff has learned that one of the nation’s leading non-partisan political experts, Larry J. Sabato, of the University of Virginia, is now predicting Randy will win, keeping CD8 in the Republican column. As recently as late September, Sabato had called the contest between Randy and Gabrielle Giffords “a toss-up.”
Well, that would certainly be a problem for Giffords, ‘cept it ain’t totally true. They are correct in as much as Sabato had, at one point, called the race a “toss up.” Only a complete moron would have thought otherwise. As of Friday, Sabato moved the race over to “Leans Democrat.” So, the only movement in the race, according to Sabato, has been away from Graf.
As for the claim that Sabato is about to move the race back into the “toss up” category, exactly what is it that is supposed to have gone on since Friday that would make Sabato do that so soon after moving it the other way?
Hey, Graf may be pulling ahead for all I know. After all, there is that secret KUAT poll, right? But guys, couldn’t you phony up a source that, I dunno, isn’t so easy for wags like me to debunk?
1 Comment
October 23rd, 2006 at 10:46 pm
Even a rabid conservative like me has to admit that Tedski has a point. When you click on the link provided you see AZ CD 8 as leans democrat. But if you click on Arizona you get some details. Go down to CD 8 and what you read is neither up to date nor insightful.
Sabato claims to send out e-mail updates. I am not a subscriber so I have not read them. I do not know if any of Sabato’s messages
on CD 8 were more recent than the June29th analysis on the web site.
Either way from the web site alone it looks like Sabato is not paying much attention to CD 8. Hard to put much stake in anything he says based on the information available.
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